Sep 28, 2009

Property agent appeal

The poor property agents aren't making any money from enbloc anymore hence their plea for ...

Room for improvement in en bloc laws

Business Times – 24 Sep 2009

Rather a long-winded boring letter, no one needs a history lesson on en bloc, we've all lived through it for 10 years. Apart from mooting a change from 10 yrs to 15 yrs (which wouldn't have much effect anyway), the author wasn't able to verbalise explicitly what he wanted. What property agents want is a return to the working model of non- transparency and unaccountability which worked so well for them in the past. Sale committees don't want to say up front they are flippers, bankrupts, jobless etc, property agents don't want their nicely pre-arranged deals unravelling by returning to the majority for approval. If you ask me, en bloc in it's present form is dead. The government can't turn the clock back to the corrupt practices of the past. It is an appeal in futility.
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Extracts: To mitigate the effects of ‘majority rule’, safeguards were put in place to protect the rights of the non-consenting minority owners. The key tenet was that any deal must be entered in good faith.
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In good faith being the operative word here. Mr Singh seems to forget about that later in the letter...

While the increase in property prices did contribute to the increase, the ability to maximise development potential and extract value was the major factor.
I have no doubt that 'extra value' was extracted from these developments, but am leery as to whom it went to.
It was also during this period that the Housing and Urban Development Corporation (HUDC), a unit of the government, started building affordable flats on a large scale for the then ’sandwiched’ group of middle-income families. Among them were Farrer Court, Pine Grove, Gillman Heights and Laguna Park.
These projects are now close to 40 years old. Soon, they will start looking old and tired. In many countries, old and dilapidated buildings become breeding grounds for crime and vice. While this is not likely in Singapore, the real danger is that these developments may become enclaves of older Singaporeans. This is clearly not the way to go for a dynamic and vibrant Singapore.
Old and tired? Dilapidated? There are rules requiring the management council to keep the estate up to the mark. Painting every 5 years etc and a lot falls on the owners themselves to spruce the place up.
But the real insult here is the "ENCLAVE FOR OLDER SINGAPOREANS'! And that such people are deemed to be "NOT THE WAY TO GO FOR DYNAMIC AND VIBRANT SINGAPORE!'.
So people in the same neighbourhood should not be allowed to grow old together? That there comes a time, perhaps, when they must move in order not to be seen to bunch together?? We have HDB Block quotas for races but none, I think, for old people. Are private owners to keep tabs on how old their neighbours are getting relative to themselves in order to calculate when the time is ripe for them to move out? What is wrong with older people anyway? Is Mr. Singh guilty of ageism? Old dilapidated, tired buildings full of old dilapidated tired people MUST be en blocked for the good of Singapore! They are in the way - move them out, shunt them elsewhere, (JB was once suggested by our good Minister of Health, Mr Kaw). We really can't have these old people cluttering up good land, now can we. New estates must be peopled with young couples (with lots of money) - out with the old, in with the new.
Mr. Singh conveniently forgets that private estates have a way of rejuvenating themselves - hasn't he heard of the resale market? Tampines Court has had a 10% turnover since Aug 2008, and while I don't have any information on the demographics of either the sellers or buyers - I can rationally assume that they weren't all old fogies selling and all geriatrics buying. The picture Mr. Singh paints of older estates and their owners is patently not true.
In Europe, buildings built centuries ago still remain habitable, besides being rich in character, history and beauty. The city centres of London, Paris and Prague have buildings that are hundreds of years old. Sadly, this is not the case in Singapore. In the immediate post-independence period, the real estate and construction industry was not inspired to build legacies of lasting beauty, but instead put up affordable, practical homes. As such, not many buildings of the 1960-70s are serious contenders for preservation on architectural grounds; and they have little if no historical significance. It is mainly the colonial era buildings that the planners feel should be conserved.

Architecturally, Singapore has no great buildings to speak of post colonial era. But architectural grounds have not been behind any minority objection that I can think of. And just because a building is not exactly top-of-the-charts in beauty, it should not automatically qualify for demolition at age 10yrs+ . Besides buildings alone do not make for a dynamic and vibrant Singapore - people do. And people don't want their neighbourhoods, their childhood memories, their friendships, landmarks and connections all destroyed for profit.
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If Singapore did not have the law that allowed for the majority of the owners to push through an en bloc sale, probably the only other way to rejuvenate these ageing developments would be for the government to acquire them compulsorily. However, the owners would at best be paid market value of the individual apartments, without any benefit of the redevelopment potential factored in. It would also bring the government into a sector where there is no immediate public interest at stake.
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'The only other way'? Surely not. If the Government wanted to do right by the owners it would make it mandatory for owners to be given 2 options - a cash sale or a decent 1-for-1 exchange in the new estate, thus preserving all the ties necessary for owners to stay and make for that vibrant and dynamic place.

The 80 per cent en bloc law made it possible for the private sector to take the lead in maximising the value of scarce land, rejuvenating old developments and allowing owners, rather than the government or developers, to benefit from increasing property prices.
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Ask Waterfront View HUDC owners, Gillman Heights owners how they feel about being shortchanged! Ask them if they can stay in their preferred area. Ask the developers how much money they are making with their new developments! The truth is xx-HUDC owners downgrade and downsize - developers double/triple their profits and treat ex-owners like dirt..

It must be conceded that the manner in which the 80 per cent legislation was drafted in 1999 was not highly elaborate nor perfect. But it was principle-driven and worked well for a good eight years. It got the job done in facilitating urban renewal.

But where have the original owners moved to; Woodlands?

However, in 2007, the complexion of the en bloc sale process changed as the market heated up. There were mounting complaints that some majority owners were not entirely fair or transparent in their conduct. Minority sellers cried out for greater protection. Owners and developers got embroiled in litigation. Non-consenting owners challenged consenting owners in court. Developers threatened to sue owners who were attempting to back out of deals. The irony is that it was often the consenting owners who were fighting to back out of the very deal that they inked and were earlier championing.
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True! and why was that? Unscrupulous sales committees, lawyers and property agents following the letter of the LTSA/CSA but not the spirit! Vested interest trumped fiduciary duty to majority owners and it was left to the minority owners to takes matters to the STB.


Fights grew more intense with cases going all the way to the Court of Appeal. About 10 cases went to the courts, with half of them making headlines for the bitter feuding. All of a sudden, en bloc sales became synonymous with trouble, disharmony and disorder. The principle behind the 80 per cent rule began to be questioned.

And whose fault was this? Not the minority owners - remember the tenet of the law was based on the deal being doe in GOOD FAITH - and clearly some were not up to that standard.

The cases that went to court did not reflect the reality of the matter. During the property bull run in 2006 and 2007, as many as 162 en bloc projects were sold successfully; but it was largely the five to 10 troubled cases that dominated the headlines.

You can't believe everything you read in the newspapers - the reality was much graver than the few cases that hit the headlines. In truth, the STB had a backlog the length of your arm, all minority owners outraged for one reason or another.

This created the perception that the en bloc laws were flawed.


But the en bloc laws were flawed, you said it yourself 'It must be conceded that the manner in which the 80 per cent legislation was drafted in 1999 was not highly elaborate nor perfect'!. Are you saying the authorities reacted in a knee jerk reaction without first thinking the situtaion through? Do you not recall the Public Consultation that was held in 2007 and the parliamentary discussion thereafter? Were they all wrong?

The laws that had worked well for eight years suddenly seemed to need fixing. In October 2007, the government reacted by tightening the laws to raise the bar on transparency and accountability on the part of the majority owners handling the sale process, and further safeguards were put in place.
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As a result, owners who would have otherwise happily volunteered to serve in the collective sale committee, today fight shy of getting involved. The fear of being sued by minorities or purchasers and exposure to liability keeps them on the sidelines.
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Absoutley! I don't want a 'happy volunteer' who is also an idiot underselling my home! Get rid of the sale committee altogether - devise a new way!
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We believe the law makers should look towards moderating some of the new provisions. There is no way that any rule can please everyone. Democracy goes by majority rule.

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Majority rules - but only with GOOD FAITH.
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For minority owners who genuinely do not wish to be forced to sell their homes, perhaps the authorities could consider raising the threshold age of a development for which the 80 per cent rule would apply, from the current 10 years to 15 years.

Not enough. The problem lies with the cowboy tactics of the players involved. Upping the age fixes nothing.

There are bound to be other approaches to renewal and maximisation of land use, but making en bloc sales difficult will take us back to the situation 10 years ago. Until a new solution is found, we need to ensure that en-bloc sales remain workable.
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SOLUTION: (I never tire of repeating this).... 1-4-1-exchange.

By KARAMJIT SINGH AND PAMELA KOW – managing director and manager at Credo Real Estate respectively

Sep 24, 2009

When Flippers flop

Property sub sales; who wins and who loses
Business Times – 26 Aug 2008
Some bleed from sub-sales, but most come out ahead
Business Times – 19 Mar 2009
Some 'flippers' took big hit in sub-sale deals
Straits Times – 23 Sep 2009
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'the hefty losses some suffered earlier this year suggest they might be deserving of some sympathy.'
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Are they asking for any? I don't think so - it is in their nature to roll the dice and take the tumble if they have to. If a high roller were to lose $1 million dollars at the table, would we be tut-tutting and offering our condolences? What about the Blackjack player who bets on the next card being an Ace, or the poker player hoping for a Royal Flush but instead draws a 2? Anyone who buys a property on a wing and a prayer in the hope of making a killing before his bluff is called is suffering from a colossal failure of common sense - but half of mankind suffers from that particular insufficiency.
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Since it is their personal choice to enter the market without sufficient financial backing, flippers cannot (and do not) expect public sympathy. It is their money after all, their future, their livelihood they are putting on the line. Are they not just doing the capitalistic thing - buying low and selling high and shouldn't we be applauding their entrepreneurial spirit? The media does.
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Flippers, speculators of all kinds are all in the business of making money; they produce nothing and offer no service. They are the engines of giant ponzi schemes.
Property flippers usually justify their unearned profit in one of two ways. They can claim they were lucky in securing a property at developer's price or lower or they assert they are just plain smarter than other buyers in the market and saw unrecognised value in an older property that they subsequently sold for a higher sale price. The sneakier ones prey on ill-informed owners to sell their 'old, dilapidated, badly maintained' properties to them at an 'above market' price (yet well below the true value of the property if it were sold enbloc).
Flippers rarely do any improvement to the property to justify a higher selling price. They add no value. It's all about 'timing'. Flippers say that if someone is willing to pay the price then that is how much the property is worth. "The value of a property is what the the market is willing to pay" - a favourite mantra of property agents everywhere. But sales price and market value are not synonymous. When the Government puts up a land parcel for sale and attracts low bids, it does not sell to the lowest bidder if it is deemed to be below the true value. Property is not like a car and the price is not set through a COE bidding type process; no property goes for $1 if that were the only bid in an open tender..
But is that all? Does it stop there? What damage, other than to themselves, do they inflict on society as a whole? Since property flipping is epidemic in Singapore, shouldn't we be looking at it's negative consequences at a societal level more closely.
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Flippers skew the market by creating a false demand. Hoards of speculators queueing up before a property launch create the illusion that things are 'picking up'. Genuine buyers join the queue in fear of losing out - the power of kiasuism and herd mentality intertwining to make for a heady mixture indeed.
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Flippers are instrumental in price escalation. Markets impacted by flipping are not rational markets. Each flipped sale is an incorrect price signal which then permeates throughout he market and other buyers and sellers make inferences about what their properties are worth based on these flips, without truly realising (or maybe they just turn a blind eye) to that fact they are not true market sales. Flipped sales act like viruses that corrupt the whole market. Even the HDB market is affected as the subsidised rate of new flats is pegged to the market value of similar flats in the area. Ultimately, property flipping makes it harder for ordinary folk to buy a decent home.
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Flippers create havoc in quiet estates by relentlessly pushing for enbloc. This causes uncertainty, anxiety and confusion. They may join the management council and run the estate down.
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Flippers are happy to force others into selling in order to realise their gains. They act without conscience or moral responsibility as their ends always justify the means. I am not talking about Tampines Court here, but in the many other estates that I have watched and had information on.
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Flipper activity might even be outright fraud - as in the case recently whereby the property agent sold a property to his immediate boss who then put it on the market at a higher price the very next day. That case went to court, how many more passed unnoticed, beneath the radar? Fraud can be perpertated in a variety of ways and I suspect some flippers might even work in concert; buying and selling property to each other, securing higher and higher loans and pocketing the difference. It happened in the US, so why not here.
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Flipper activity will always reach a point where a market correction is inevitable it is after all, unsustainable. Flippers were one of the major causes of the sub-prime woes in the USA.

Like a ponzi scheme, if you get out early you are ok, and the last ones holding the bag are the ones who get burned. If that happens to be a flipper - well then, that's poetic justice.

Sep 16, 2009

Interlace @ Gillman Heights


Will ex-Gillman Heights minority owners be able to return to their old estate??

ANSWER: NO
Interlace preview: Gillman owners disappointed 


OWNERS of the Gillman Heights Condominium that is being knocked down to make way for The Interlace were disappointed with what they saw at a private preview of the new development yesterday.

Their chief complaint was that the units offered to them had bad facings and that prices were too high. Mr S.T. Soh, 68, said: 'The apartments being offered were either too close to the highway, or were on very low floors facing Depot Road. These are among the worst units in the project.'

Another owner, who wanted to be known only as Madam Koh, had expected lower prices. 

But even the low-level units were going for a minimum of $1,048 per sq ft (psf), she said.

CapitaLand said the apartments ranged in price from $850 psf to $1,150 psf and represented a full spectrum of unit types from 807 sq ft to 5,877sq ft. Of the 1,040 units at The Interlace, 153 units from five blocks were offered at the private preview. A spokesman said: 'These units, located on different levels in the development, also offer various facings - towards the pool, towards the sea, and towards the greenery at HortPark.'
 
The purchase of 607-unit Gillman Heights by Capitaland was completed in May, and the owners received between $870,000 and $950,000 for their units. They were also offered first bite to buy a new home at The Interlace.
JONATHAN KWOK

Straits Times – 15 Sep 2009

Sep 8, 2009

Laguna Park Goes On Sale for $1.2b


Today – 8th Sep 2009

CapitaLand’s chief executive Liew Mun Leong said yesterday that the reserve price tag of some $1.2 billion for the estate is “too high to yield affordable homes”.

I’m not very sure that at the end of the day, after paying over $800 per plot ratio, plus construction costs, plus your cost of financing, your break-even cost would be something like $1,500 or $1,600 (per square foot). “Are buyers prepared to pay for it at that location and that price? I am less sanguine than them,” said Mr Liew.
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'Too high to yield affordable homes' ? - more likely 'too high to yield enormous profit for the developer'. They should be willing to lower their profit margin and do their bit for the national agenda of land maximisation - but alas, only private citizens with no political or financial clout are being asked to make that sacrifice.
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I would like to see how they arrived at their 'break even' costing - considering their plot ratio is 2.8. Owners have to buy new units with the sale proceeds and anything less than $800 psf 

will not provide them with much choice - and even then the replacement cost is $1,600 psf in the same location! Double the price! When buying property, it is all about 'location, location location'When selling en bloc it is all about 'replacement, replacement, replacement'. Laguna Pk owners should wait and not undersell their homes or they may become irreplacable. There is no need to rush.
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And if there is no sale - well, they can luxuriate in their spacious homes and let the rat race run elsewhere.



Straits Times – 5th Sep 2009

Laguna Park goes on sale for $1.2b
Consent level reached in Dec, but now’s the right time for tender, it says EAST Coast condominium Laguna Park was put up for collective sale yesterday with a hefty price tag of $1.2billion – potentially the second highest price ever here for such a deal.

The sprawling 30-year-old condominium has been in the headlines over a spate of vandalism attacks on residents who were not keen on the sale.

Despite its troubles, the estate attained the crucial 80per cent consent level from its owners last December.

But the tender exercise was put on hold until now ‘as major developers have only recently returned to the land market with confidence’, said its marketing agent Credo Real Estate.

If it succeeds in finding a buyer, Laguna Park will be the second billion-dollar en bloc deal here, after the 618-unit Farrer Court was sold to a CapitaLand-led consortium for $1.34billion in 2007.

Laguna’s entry on the market marks a milestone in the estate’s troubled path towards a collective sale that was made highly public due to incidents of vandalism which hit the estate last year.

Residents who spoke to The Straits Times yesterday said the estate’s once-peaceful atmosphere has begun to return.

One resident, Mr Robin Sng, who had his car damaged by a corrosive liquid, says he has still not signed up to the deal because he wants to stay on.

Even with the payout, he feels it will be difficult to get a replacement unit with the same attributes in the area.

‘Very few people now talk about the en bloc sale openly, although we know it is going on,’ he said.

Another minority owner, who declined to be named, said he was adopting a wait-and-see approach to the sale, but confirmed that some owners – who themselves were victims of vandalism – had changed their minds and signed up after considering the attractive price tag.

At the current price, most owners will receive $2.1million to $2.3million, while the penthouses will fetch between $3.5million and $4.1million, said Credo.

This price, which works out to about $1,300 to 1,400 psf depending on the unit size, is double the price such units have been fetching in recent months – about $682 psf- even in the bullish market.

Industry analysts are speculating that the overall price tag – at $1.6billion, including an estimated $400 million payable to the Government for development charges and a fresh top-up of the lease – might deter developers.

Ngee Ann Polytechnic real estate lecturer Nicholas Mak notes that the steep sum may lead to interested developers forming joint ventures.

On the timing of the sale, he said this time is ‘as good as any to launch, as developers are triggering government land sales sites and 99-year leasehold condominiums seem to be selling out’.

Like Farrer Court, Laguna Park is a former HUDC estate; it is located in Marine Parade and was privatised in 2007. The condominium has a land area of about 677,493 sq ft and a gross plot ratio of 2.8.

Credo deputy managing director Tan Hong Boon estimates that the buyer could build about 1,500 new apartments with an average size of about 1,200 sq ft.

The land price for the condominium, which has 67 years left on its lease, works out to about $844 per sq ft per plot ratio, including the $400million payable.

At this price, the successful purchaser could break even at about $1,200 to $1,250 psf, with a view of pricing the new units at $1,400 to $1,600 psf, said Mr Tan.

Chesterton Suntec International’s research and consultancy director Colin Tan said the condominium sits on an attractive site that faces the sea, but ‘it remains to be seen if it can achieve that kind of pricing’.

The tender closes on Oct13 at 3pm.
Straits Times – 3 Sep 2009
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Sep 5, 2009

Condo Mischief-maker

Condo Mischief-maker won't testify in hearing against him