Jun 30, 2010

MARKET NEWS

Private home prices outstrip peak of '96
Business Times: Jul 02, 2010
HDB resale prices rising faster 
Straits Times: Jul 02, 2010
Home prices 'set for healthy gains'
Jun 29, 2010

Prices of mass market homes, especially Housing Board flats, are set for healthy gains this year, according to a Citigroup report.

However, HDB resale prices, which provide a strong base for the mass private market, are likely to stay firm due largely to the generally low supply since 2003, it said. Citi expects both HDB resale prices and rents, as well as mass market private home prices, to rise 5 per cent to 10 per cent by the end of the year.

'With capital gains from existing Housing Board flats at a seven-year high, coupled with low mortgage rates, we believe new sales are likely to remain strong in the mass market,' it said.

Mass market private home prices should be capped at $900 to $1,000 per sq ft (psf), though there is a chance they may overshoot, it said.

Considering the high bids and breakeven costs for recent government sites, developers are likely to keep selling private homes at a minimum range of $850 to $1,100 psf and HDB executive condos at closer to $750 psf.

NOTE: anything less than a replacement unit is totally unacceptable in an en bloc. There should be no forced downgrades, no loss of living standard.

This replacement cost can either be in CASH or 1-for 1 exchange

Look at the new developments, they are impossibly small, high density estates with greatly diminished common property. 


But for those who think downsizing is a good idea... think twice.

How to make the most of a small apartment

Q: I HAVE four kids aged 13, 11, seven and five, and we live in an apartment with only two bedrooms and no storeroom.
We have many things, including books, CDs, photos, shoes, stationery and toys, which we had gathered over the years and my husband and I are still buying new items for our children on a regular basis.
We kept all the old toys as it is such a waste to throw them away – they are good-quality toys and still in good condition. It is the same case with books. My daughter loves buying books and we do not want to kill her interest in reading by asking her to stop spending on books.
hen there’s also the textbooks, assessment books, lesson notes, examination papers, all of which we are keeping to hand down to our younger kids.
We are running out of cupboard space for all these items, so much so that I have to keep some of the toys in the children’s wardrobe, along with their clothes; under their study table; and even on the steps on their double-decker bed.
Shoes are another headache.
My children have at least three pairs each, not counting the ones that the older ones cannot wear anymore (which we are keeping for the younger ones). Then there are the shoes belonging to my husband and me.
I hope the professionals can suggest ways we can organise all our things and, if possible, tuck them away neatly.
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A: Your two-room apartment is indeed small for a family of six but, with some planning, you would be able to maximise the space and find your things easily as well.
Cluttered living spaces are difficult to maintain, so let’s aim to keep the apartment as spacious as possible but, at the same time, have all the most frequently needed items within easy reach.
You should first consider what you really want to keep. If you are unlikely to ever use something again, it should be disposed of, to free up space.
Next, designate storage zones and prioritise them according to accessibility within your apartment.
For each storage zone, you need suitable storage equipment, for example, hangers, plastic bins and shelves.
You will also have to consider whether to store items on a higher level to maximise the space up there. Naturally, higher storage areas are not as accessible as those that are within reach, so they are best used for items that are seldom used.
When it comes to storage equipment, it is most practical to use something that is strong and durable. But you should also consider getting something that would improve the aesthetics of your home. Therefore, you may want to invest in good-looking furniture for the more visible areas.
The next step is to decide what you want to keep but do not use regularly. These items should go into the storage areas that are less accessible – they could be outside your home.
Things that you need to use more regularly should be stored in the apartment within the designated storage zones.
Organising your things can take quite a bit of time, but it will save you time searching for them later had they not been stored in an organised manner. Do label your boxes clearly so that it will be easier for you to find your things later.
For items that have sentimental value which you cannot bear to junk and yet do not want to keep in the apartment (as they take up too much premium space), you may want to consider self-storage service.
Self-storage can help by allowing you to keep these items in a purpose-built location.
You should select a storage facility in a location that is most convenient for you either near your workplace or near your home – so that should you need to retrieve your things, you don’t have to travel too far to get them.
Source : my paper – 30 Jun 2010
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How ridiculous is it to buy into your dream home  and find there is not enough space for your shoes! Even more ridiculous to be told to buy extra storage space above and beyond the extravagant price you might have paid for your home! This lady must not live in a HDB.. .I have yet to visit a 3 room HDB with no store room. 
I walked into one of these showrooms and instantly noted the drawbacks - no doors, 1 room knocked down to give the impression of space, furniture fit for dwarfs, an American full sized bed masquerading as a queen size,  read the details and saw cheap plastic foldable doors on the kitchen toilet, and no kitchen space for the fridge! And this in a million dollar plus apartment!  tsk tsk

If there are people who value facilities over personal space then they really should sit down and and have a long hard think.
  • Enjoyment of facilities is usually short term. After a few months owners generally find they use them less and less. Facilities are common space. 
  • Facilities come with a high monthly fee - do you really want to pay $250 -$300 for a pool you hardly ever use or your children have outgrown?
  • Your square footage of personal space is yours and yours alone to enjoy. Size is a determining factor when buying/selling your apartment - facilities are peripheral and not calculated into the price directly.
  • Are you being seduced by marketing tactics and glossy pictures and ignoring the practicality of viewing an apartment as your future living space? In other words, are you buying into a lifestyle that will lose it's shine eventually, leave you wanting  and sap your bank account for the rest of your working days? 
For those who think an enbloc will enable them to buy into a luxury home have not done their sums.

All an en bloc will do is allow you to visit the fancy showrooms and drool over the European bathroom fixtures but NOT buy into the new development on your old site - unless you fork out double the price or are content with a mickey-mouse sized apartment with your sale proceeds. If you do either of these things then you have effectively
  • reduced by half your personal living space
  • emptied you bank account
  • taken out yet another yoke of a mortgage
  • reduced your share of any common property as a new development will typically be high density
  • Increased your monthly overheads
  • hobbled your retirement savings (if any)
And in the meantime, the developer is laughing all the way to the bank - having bought the penthouse for his family members!

For those who say owners can downgrade to HDB and pocket the difference

Well, downsizing for retirement needs might be a legitimate excuse for selling out. But it should only be a matter of choice not a REALITY for all. It becomes a reality because the CSA binds owners for 24 months, locks them into selling their estate at a set price. Sure, the sale committee promise to try and sell for higher - but it rarely happens and there are dozens of unhappy past enblocs to prove that point! Who the hell sells anything by locking in the price for 2 years???? 

And what happens to the price of HDBs  in an area where there is an en bloc? They shoot through the roof  because canny HDB owners also want to cash in on the wave of  displaced en bloc owners looking for a replacement unit in the area. Prices go up and those that end up in HDB are left feeling somewhat duped.




Jun 26, 2010

CLEMENTI PARK

Agent drops en bloc for Clementi Park

Well, I have been told this is just a ploy in order to avoid being hit by the new rules. They want to avoid being caught by the 50% rule for round 2 -  that in the event of a failed first attempt, a second attempt will require a higher approval rate from owners to form a sale committee. By cancelling this attempt before the new rules kick in, they can start afresh with just  a 20% requisition.

Looking at their pretty website here , it seems the sale committee has been hanging on since 2007.

The sale committee will probably try to reconstitute in July and start all over again.

When it tried to go en bloc four years ago, Clementi Park failed to get 50 per cent of its residents’ vote.
This time round, its marketing agent Knight Frank withdrew from the collective sale exercise.
In the minutes of a recent meeting – which was obtained by Media-Corp – the company said it did not have the “confidence” that it could get 80 per cent of the condominium’s owners to agree to a collective sale. This was based on a survey in which 382 out of 489 owners took part.
The firm noted that “a good number” of owners did not wish to sell their apartments which are located on one million sq ft of undulating freehold land. Also, it was difficult to get owners of the 28-year-old property to agree to “one method of apportionment” because of the diversity of share values and strata area.
As for whether the 80 per cent consensus could be achieved if the reserve price was increased from $1.25 billion to $1.4 billion, Knight Frank’s opinion was that “under the current market conditions, it would be challenging”.
But it is not a case of price as the market is “buoyant”, according to Suntec Chesterton International’s head of research and consultancy Colin Tan. Rather, “these owners don’t want to sell, and Knight Frank, sensing their stubbornness, decided to pull out,” he said.
The collective sale committee (CSC), at its final meeting on June 8 had considered appointing another marketing agent.
But most members concluded that based on “current market conditions and current ownership profile”, the result was likely to be same and it would be “futile” to do so.
The sale exercise was aborted and the CSC was terminated.
Clementi Park resident Robert Bacsafra, for one, is disappointed with the outcome. He said he would have got between $2.5 to $3 million for his unit.
Source : Today – 19 Jun 2010

Jun 15, 2010

PENDER COURT

Pender Court sold to Hoi Hup Realty for S$95m

Pender Court, a 48-unit development at the foot of Mount Faber, has become the eighth successful en bloc sale in Singapore this year.

Total number of units: 48
Large units: 24 number x 162 sq m each with 1 share values each = $1.99M/unit
Medium units: 24 number x 153 sq m each with 1 share values each =$1.96M/unit
En bloc: 48 total units on land plot size 65,000 sq ft with plot ratio1.4 = $95mn
Redevelopment: Likely 103 units averaging 1000 sq ft each




PENDER COURT"S failed en bloc in July 2007:


Jun 12, 2010

See?! You don't have to sell your soul for a pittance!

Golden era of development
 
Early this week, a developer gave itself a pat on the back for delivering good returns on its maiden residential project. Considering that almost every established developer made record profits in their recent history, was it such an achievement?

If ever there was a period which could be described as a golden era for developers, the years from 2007 to the present day – with the exception of 2008 – must be it.

Laden with massive liquidity from huge profits earned on sold-out projects, it is no wonder that developers’ appetite for development sites has remained unabated.

The aggressive bidding for the most recent state sale of a residential plot at the corner of Sembawang Road and Canberra Drive, was the second tender to confirm that the ramping up of land supply has not had a major impact.

One major reason for the high bids and good participation rate was that there are still some developers who have yet to replenish their land bank. They are likely to ramp up their bids even higher.
However, what is interesting is that quite a number of developers continue to participate in such tenders even though they have already been successful in earlier rounds.
Perhaps reflecting the greater risks going forward, there appear to be more joint ventures – some with strategic tie-ups with contractors. With so many projects coming up over the next few years, securing a contractor will prove more difficult over time.

Flush with liquidity, developers probably feel there is no other better option. In any case, should their bids be successful, it may have an averaging down effect on their overall land cost.
The market continues to surprise even the most seasoned of developers. After bidding aggressively for a site and turning it around in double-quick time within nine months, some developers are caught in a dilemma when their projects sell out in days. They are back to square one but with even greater cash resources.

Thus, we may have a scenario where sites are taken up even quickly as they are made available, and this will probably be so even when land prices start to decline to more moderate levels. How much more land supply will it take to satisfy this seemingly insatiable appetite?
If developers continue to be able to unload their apartments, the risks are slowly being transferred to the investors. And when developers are in a healthy position, do not expect them to chop prices any time soon.

It can even be argued that it is in the developers’ interest to continue to participate in land tenders even when bid prices are coming down. This is because the most vulnerable are those who paid the highest prices for their sites. Developers with lower land cost are able to undercut their rivals.
I end this piece with this last paragraph of a recent article on asset bubbles by an NUS don: “While the ‘efficient market hypothesis’ prescribes minimal government intervention … regulators should prevent huge asset bubbles rather than look for ways to cure the economy only after a crash. By that time it may be too costly.”

Colin Tan, head of research and consultancy at Chesterton Suntec International.

Jun 9, 2010

CAVANAGH MANSIONS

Freehold Cavenagh Mansions up for collective sale by tender
 
Cavenagh Mansions, a freehold residential redevelopment site along Cavenagh Road, has been put up for sale by tender.
Its marketing agent Knight Frank said the guiding sale price is S$55 million to S$60 million.
This translates to a land price of S$1,258 to S$1,367 per square foot per plot ratio.
This is based on the potential gross floor area of about 45,768 square feet, inclusive of the additional 10 per cent space for balconies.
For the asking price, each owner stands to get between S$2.62 and S$2.86 million.
The site has a land area of 19,813 square feet.

Jun 8, 2010

GOODRICH PARK

Goodrich Park up for tender with $80-85m asking price

Location: Simon Lane, Singapore 546021 (District 19)
Tenure: Freehold
TOP: 1982
Units : 52

 

Jun 7, 2010

MENG GARDEN

Meng Garden back on the market
Jun 07, 2010

What this means is that Meng Garden's buyer will be spared the hassle of going to the Strata Titles Board for approval of the collective sale of the freehold property, which has a land area of 35,639 square feet. It is zoned for residential use with a 2.8 plot ratio and height control of 10 storeys. The site could potentially accommodate a new development with about 95 apartments averaging 1,000 sq ft.
The latest 'guide price' of $135 million works out to about $1,360 per square foot of potential gross floor area inclusive of an estimated $681,000 development charge (DC).


Jun 6, 2010

Parliamentary Speeches 2010

Mr. Shanmugam's LTSA Amendment Bill 2010 Second Reading  & Oral Answers


SECOND READING






ORAL ANSWERS



Jun 5, 2010

SHOULD TC GO EN BLOC AGAIN?

Ok, I will give you gung-ho guys a special post on the blog to air your views. I will even put it on the main top bar for easy access.

Please mind your language. I will instantly trash any comment with expletives or named persons. Because this is my blog, not a public forum, I still hold the right of censure.



Anything under $1.7 million is UNDERSELLING 
YOU WILL NEVER AGAIN BE ABLE TO AFFORD A 1700 SQFT PRIVATE APARTMENT
TC HAS 2 MILLION SQ FT OF SALABLE STRATA AREA.
EN BLOC IS A DESTRUCTIVE FORCE  WHEN UNLEASHED - 
DO NOT START ONE JUST TO TEST THE WATERS OR DESTABILIZE THE ESTATE.

TAMPINES COURTERS DESERVE AT LEAST 5 YEARS OF PEACE & QUIET BEFORE CHURNING THE WATERS AGAIN

THE EN BLOC MARKET WILL NEVER DISAPPEAR

GOOD REDEVELOPMENT SITES IN MATURE ESTATES ARE
GETTING RARER BY THE YEAR

TAMPINES COURT:
- has massive common property
- has enormous apartments
- has ample parking lots
- is very windy
- has large open balconies

- has low monthy maintenance fees
- even lower than unprivatised HUDCs (if car parking included)

- is walking distance to 2 MRT stations
- is close to Tampines Shopping belt
- has a Fairprice supermarket next door
- easy access to PIE/ECP

- foodcourts galore in the area
- bus stop right outside the estate
- is close to a major public hospital
- is six minutes from the Airport
- is close to the Expo
- is walking distance to the 'Shenton Way' of the East
Primary, Secondary, Polytechic and Junior Colleges nearby
United Overseas College
Singapore's 4th University 

Downgrading is NOT ACCEPTABLE